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| Articles about Forecasting |
| Working Together: Bottom Up and Top Down Forecasting | | 2008-07-29 17:59:22 | | An effective S&OP program depends on solid, accurate demand forecasts. Best practice companies do three things well: statistical, top-down and bottom-up forecasting. Many companies are doing one or two of these, but few are doing all three well. Of course, some companies do none. Let’s just say these companies have a huge upside improvement potential.
A [...]... | | By: Steelwedge Software | | |
| | Forex Trading - Advanced Forecasting Methods For Profit | | 2008-07-05 23:55:01 | | Today we have advanced forecasting methods at our disposal as the power of computers has increased, they can do more in less time than ever before and the computer that sits on your desk top, is far more powerful than the one that helped land man on the moon. So let's look at advanced forecasting methods in more detail...Before we start lets quote a simple fact which may make you think.Despite all the advances we have seen in technology over the last 20 years the ratio of winners to losers still remains the same - well over 90% lose and 10% win and make the big profits. So all these advances in technology and forecasting have done nothing in terms of increasing the ratio of winners and the reason is obvious!Scientific methods CANNOT help when you are trading an odds based area like forex.There is no scientific movement of prices and that's obvious, because humans are emotional beings.You will hear many people who say there is but if there was, we would all know the price beforehand and... | | By: Finance fantasy | | |
| | Forecasting Toronto’s Real Estate Market | | 2008-05-03 01:52:00 | | When looking at forecasts for Toronto’s real estate market, or any market for that matter, it’s important to understand that these predictions are only as good as the information that experts have at the time. Unexpected shocks or changes to the market can impact the accuracy of a forecast. For example, the introduction of 40-year mortgages had a significant impact on Toronto’s real estate market in 2007 (see my previous post, Extended Amortizations and Toronto's Real Estate Market: Real Opportunity or Bubble Booster?). Roughly 10,000 more people bought homes in 2007 than in either 2004,2005 or 2006. Much of this increase had to do with the fact that housing suddenly became more affordable, driving up demand in that year.So why didn't experts anticipate this surge in demand in 2007? One possibility is that forecasts for a slowdown were announced before CMHC introduced the 40-year mortgage. Another possibility is that forecasters who did take the 40-year mortgage into account, u... | | By: Canada Real Estate News | | |
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| VENDOR MANAGED INVENTORY ARTICLE & SC FORECASTING | | 2008-03-06 01:28:00 | | VENDOR MANAGED INVENTORY (VMI) IMPROVES SUPPLY CHAIN FORECASTING ARTICLE/ CASE STUDY & MUMBAI FORECASTING WORKSHOP/ FORUM INFORMATION
Folks, I have an interesting article/ case study on how Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI) programs improve Forecasting and the Supply Chain. It is written by an expert in Supply Chain Strategies from the company Arasco.
A Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI) program not
... | | By: JOB-HUNT | | |
| | Stephen Roach is forecasting a recession | | 2008-01-13 09:19:00 | | The Financial Times this week ran a column by Stephen Roach of Morgan Stanley, who spelled out why assumptions of "easy asset appreciation" are the root folly of the stock market and real estate bubbles. He also offered a forecast of sorts, best summed up by this sentence:"It is going to be a very painful process to break the addiction to asset-led behavior."By way of contrast, there's no "painful process" ahead that I can infer from Fed Chairman Bernanke's latest remarks, which included: "The Federal Reserve is not currently forecasting a recession. We are forecasting slow growth."As for why Stephen Roach is forecasting a recession, he can speak for himself:As home prices move into a protracted period of decline, consumers will finally recognise the perils of bubble-distorted saving strategies. Financially battered households will respond by rebuilding income-based saving balances. That means the consumption share of gross domestic product will fall and the US economy will most likely tumble into recession.Mind you, the key word in the quote above is "protracted" -- home prices already declined some six percent in the 20 major metropolitan areas of the U.S. in 2007. In other words, millions of people are not simply failing to see the appreciation they expected; in fact, their asset prices are in decline.Successful investing is hard, and good investment opportunities are hard to come by. Walk away quickly from anyone who says otherwise.... | | By: How to be Rich, Happy and Free from Scams | | |
| | Forecasting Forex Trading | | 2007-12-02 14:45:00 | | What is Forex or Foreign Exchange: It is the largest financial market in the world, with a volume of more than $1.5 trillion daily, dealing in currencies. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location, no central exchange. It operates through an electronic network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another. What about Forecasting: Predicting current and future market trends using existing data and facts. Analysts rely on technical and fundamental statistics to predict the directions of the economy, stock market and individual securities. For those who trade using the Forex, or foreign currency exchange, knowing how to forecast the Forex can make the difference between trading successfully and losing money. When you begin learning about Forex trading, it is vital that you understand how to forecast the Forex trading market. There are a few methods that are used when forecasting the Forex. Each system is used to understand how the Forex works and how the fluctuations in the market can affect traders and currency rates. The two methods that are most often used are called technical analysis and fundamental analysis. Both methods differ in their own ways, but each one can help the Forex trader understand how the rates are affecting the currency trade. Most of the time, experienced traders and brokers know each method and use a mixture of the two to trade on the Forex. One method used in forecasting foreign currency exchange is called technical analysis. This method uses predictions by looking at trends in charts and graphs from past Forex market happenings. This system is based on solid events that have actually taken place in the Forex in the past. Many experience Forex traders and brokers rely on this system because it follows actual trends and can be quite reliable. When looking at the technical analysis in the Forex, there are three basic principles that are used to make projections. These principles a... | | By: FOREX ARTICLES | | |
| | A Breakthrough in Solar Storm Forecasting | | 2007-05-29 02:03:33 | | > A scientist using the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) has found a way to forecast solar radiation storms. Please vote for this podcast at PodcastAlley ! Get this podcast story. more >>
When Dutch astronomer Willem de Sitter proposed a static model of the universe in the early 1900s, he was some 3 trillion years ahead of his time. read more more >>
In a nutshell - cosmic rays induce particle formation in the atmosphere. Water droplets coalesce around these particles producing clouds. Clouds reflect sunlight back into space. The more clouds the cooler it is and the fewer clouds the hotter it is. more >>
Bill Whittle's latest essay reminds me of this post that I wrote a couple years ago on the pacification of… more >>
00:00 Royal Institution for Adelaide, >06:44 Improving the plight of caged animals, >16:20 Skin - treating burns, >26:50 Arizona State University, >35:30 Phoenix - an oasis city with more people and less water, >42:40 C... | | By: Doktertomi.com | | |
| | Forecasting your Accounts Payable | | 2007-05-27 14:59:32 | |
One of the more detailed parts of doing a cash flow forecast for the next 13 weeks is projecting out the payments on your accounts payable.
I’ve seen some companies go through a very manual process for this. They were able to slug their way through it with the enthusiasm of doing this forecast for the first time. However, when it comes time to do this on a repetitive basis, the process gets very old. What usually happens is the forecast gets updated infrequently at best and often times dropped altogether.
It doesn’t have to be that way. There is a way to streamline this process and turn it into more of a weekly review than a big manual exercise.
The first step is to get a download of the accounts payable trial balances. This download should show the vendors, invoice dates, and invoice amounts and probably invoice numbers for reference.
With that information downloaded into Excel, you can then put together the second leg. This would be a separate table that would list the supplier ... | | By: Ask Jon Paul | | |
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